MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
19-12-5 | Road
6
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
20-16-1 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jacob Fowler
#32 | G@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fowler | None-None | 2.01 | 0.929 | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 6.00 | 0.793 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.01 Ldr
GAA
6.00
0.929 Ldr
Save %
0.793
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
100%
BRUINS
0%
CANADIENS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
MTL By 1 goal
12.1%
MTL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BOS By 1 goal
19.7%
BOS By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Montreal
3
MONTREAL
Boston
4
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Boston
4
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 17, 2026
BOS @ MTL
2 - 3
Jan 24, 2026
MTL @ BOS
3 - 4
Dec 23, 2025
MTL @ BOS
6 - 2
Nov 15, 2025
BOS @ MTL
3 - 2
Apr 3, 2025
BOS @ MTL
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+18.7% more
Boston: 24.9
vs
Montreal: 21.0
Power Play % (L5)
+17.7%
Boston: 25.1%
vs
Montreal: 7.4%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.5% more
Montreal: 26.6
vs
Boston: 23.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.9% more
Montreal: 15.7
vs
Boston: 14.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MTL Score
3.0
6
BOS Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.0 / 15.7
16.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
50.7 / 49.7
52.6 / 47.4
Hits
24.9 / 21.0
27.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
25.1 / 7.4
20.0 / 28.6
Shots on Goal
23.5 / 26.6
28.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 4.2
7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
MTL
BOS
MTL
ML
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
TTL
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
Canadiens' Ivan Demidov Sidelined 2-4 Weeks with Lower-Body Inju…
Bruins Look to Fix Special Teams as Senators Come to Town