CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
15-17-4 | Road
1
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
18-13-6 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Alec Regula
#75 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 5.04 | 0.872 | -- |
| Alec Regula | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.04
GAA
--
0.872
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
OILERS
0%
FLAMES
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
CGY By 1 goal
12.1%
CGY By 2-3 goals
9.3%
EDM By 1 goal
19.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 4, 2026
EDM @ CGY
3 - 4
Dec 27, 2025
EDM @ CGY
2 - 3
Dec 23, 2025
CGY @ EDM
1 - 5
Oct 8, 2025
CGY @ EDM
4 - 3
Mar 29, 2025
CGY @ EDM
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+38.1%
Edmonton: 48.6%
vs
Calgary: 10.5%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+23.1% more
Edmonton: 16.7
vs
Calgary: 13.6
Hits (L5)
+15.0% more
Edmonton: 20.6
vs
Calgary: 17.9
Takeaways (L5)
+33.6% more
Calgary: 4.7
vs
Edmonton: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
3.0
1
EDM Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.7 / 13.6
21.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
50.0 / 51.8
43.4 / 56.6
Hits
20.6 / 17.9
14.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
48.6 / 10.5
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.4 / 36.6
39.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
3.1 / 4.7
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
CGY
EDM
CGY
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Two Goals and an…
Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Three Points
Avalanche Crush Winless Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Three Po…
Avalanche Erupt for Seven Goals to Torch Flames at Scotiabank Sa…
Makar's Hometown Heroics: Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3