FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
19-14-2 | Road
5
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
22-10-3 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
PANTHERS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
FLA By 1 goal
0.9%
FLA By 2-3 goals
0.3%
CAR By 1 goal
6.6%
CAR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
1
FLORIDA
Carolina
5
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 29, 2026
FLA @ CAR
1 - 0
Jan 16, 2026
FLA @ CAR
1 - 9
Dec 23, 2025
FLA @ CAR
5 - 2
Sep 29, 2025
CAR @ FLA
3 - 4
Sep 24, 2025
FLA @ CAR
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+59.3% more
Carolina: 6.3
vs
Florida: 4.0
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.9% more
Carolina: 32.7
vs
Florida: 27.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.9%
Carolina: 50.1%
vs
Florida: 46.2%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+36.6% more
Florida: 16.5
vs
Carolina: 10.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
1.0
5
CAR Score
5.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.5 / 16.5
12.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
50.1 / 46.2
56.9 / 43.1
Hits
17.5 / 25.6
35.0 / 32.0
Power Play %
16.5 / 20.4
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
32.7 / 27.5
19.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
6.3 / 4.0
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
FLA
CAR
FLA
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
TTL
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
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