NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
18-16-4 | Road
7
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
19-12-5 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 3.00 | 0.906 | -- |
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 6.18 | 0.700 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00 Ldr
GAA
6.18
0.906 Ldr
Save %
0.700
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
CAPITALS
100%
RANGERS
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYR -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
NYR By 1 goal
12.1%
NYR By 2-3 goals
37.2%
WSH By 1 goal
2.8%
WSH By 2-3 goals
1.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
4
NEW YORK
Washington
1
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
WSH @ NYR
1 - 8
Dec 31, 2025
NYR @ WSH
3 - 6
Dec 23, 2025
NYR @ WSH
7 - 3
Oct 12, 2025
WSH @ NYR
1 - 0
Mar 5, 2025
WSH @ NYR
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+25.8% more
New York: 4.2
vs
Washington: 3.1
Hits (L5)
+18.6% more
New York: 22.4
vs
Washington: 18.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+17.8% more
New York: 16.0
vs
Washington: 13.2
Power Play % (L5)
+11.9%
New York: 15.5%
vs
Washington: 3.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
4.0
7
WSH Score
1.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.2 / 16.0
17.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
48.2 / 58.4
45.8 / 54.2
Hits
18.2 / 22.4
13.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
3.6 / 15.5
33.3 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
29.8 / 22.8
32.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
3.1 / 4.2
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
NYR
WSH
NYR
ML
100%
3-0
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
ATS
100%
3-0
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
TTL
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show at Capitals' Home Opener as Washi…
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…