DALLAS
STARSDAL
25-7-5 | Road
3
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
21-13-3 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Casey DeSmith
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
John Gibson
#36 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey DeSmith | None-None | 4.01 | 0.840 | -- |
| John Gibson | None-None | 2.97 | 0.864 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.01
GAA
Ldr 2.97
0.840
Save %
Ldr 0.864
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
RED WINGS
0%
STARS
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DAL By 1 goal
12.1%
DAL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
DET By 1 goal
19.7%
DET By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
2
DALLAS
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Dallas
2
DALLAS
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Red Wings (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
DET @ DAL
2 - 3
Dec 23, 2025
DAL @ DET
3 - 4
Apr 14, 2025
DAL @ DET
4 - 6
Jan 19, 2025
DET @ DAL
1 - 4
Jan 23, 2024
DAL @ DET
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.3% more
Detroit: 18.0
vs
Dallas: 15.4
Power Play % (L5)
+13.8%
Detroit: 41.7%
vs
Dallas: 27.9%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+12.7% more
Detroit: 26.3
vs
Dallas: 23.3
Takeaways (L5)
+12.6% more
Detroit: 6.0
vs
Dallas: 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
2.0
3
DET Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.0 / 15.4
16.0 / 8.0
Faceoff %
50.0 / 47.2
51.8 / 48.2
Hits
13.5 / 12.3
16.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
41.7 / 27.9
66.7 / 40.0
Shots on Goal
26.3 / 23.3
25.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
6.0 / 5.3
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
DAL
DET
DAL
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-3
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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