Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Anteaters @ Spartans UCI @ NORF

UC IRVINE

ANTEATERSUCI

8-5  |  Road

89
FINAL
Mon, Dec 22 • 9:00 PM ET
Don Haskins Center
View Odds Details →

NORFOLK STATE

SPARTANSNORF

6-8  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
ANTEATERS
100%
📊
SPARTANS
0%
ANTEATERS --
SPARTANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NORFOLK STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Norfolk State)
AnteatersUCI (-3.5) 0 SpartansNORF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Anteaters Cover

46.0%

Spartans Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NORF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NORF)

UCI By 1-7 points

24.3%

UCI By 8-14 points

13.7%

NORF By 1-7 points

26.2%

NORF By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
68
UC IRVINE
69
NORFOLK STATE
Simulated Score
68
UC IRVINE
75
NORFOLK STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Spartans Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Spartans Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Spartans (+10.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Spartans (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o135.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u135.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 22, 2025 UCI @ NORF 89 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +23.4% more
Norfolk State: 13.6 vs UC Irvine: 11.0
Blocks (L5) +60.0% more
UC Irvine: 5.2 vs Norfolk State: 2.1
Assists (L5) +14.6% more
UC Irvine: 17.0 vs Norfolk State: 14.5
Steals (L5) +11.7% more
UC Irvine: 6.4 vs Norfolk State: 5.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UCI Score 68.0 89
NORF Score 69.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.0 / 35.9 53.0 / 35.0
Assists 14.5 / 17.0 8.0 / 23.0
Blocks 2.1 / 5.2 1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 44.6 / 43.8 45.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 62.8 / 63.4 80.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 36.1 / 35.3 24.0 / 35.0
Steals 5.6 / 6.4 4.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 11.0 15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCI Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
NORF
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCI Advantage
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
NORF
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -2.8
NORF
19-9-0
O: 67.9% / U: 32.1% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NORF
UCI
NORF
UCI
ML
67% 20-10
57% 20-15
71% 20-8
53% 18-16
ATS
63% 19-11
63% 22-13
72% 21-8
53% 18-16
TTL
60% 18-12
57% 20-15
100% 29-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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