NORTH DAKOTA STATE
BISONNDSU
10-4 | Road
66
UTEP
MINERSUTEP
3-7 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
0%
MINERS
100%
BISON
--
MINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (North Dakota State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NDSU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NDSU)
NDSU By 1-7 points
25.3%
NDSU By 8-14 points
26.2%
UTEP By 1-7 points
13.7%
UTEP By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
North Dakota State
75
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
UTEP
67
UTEP
Simulated Score
North Dakota State
68
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
UTEP
75
UTEP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bison
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Miners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bison (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Miners (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
NDSU @ UTEP
66 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+22.6% more
North Dakota State: 10.0
vs
UTEP: 7.7
Assists (L5)
+20.5% more
North Dakota State: 15.1
vs
UTEP: 12.0
Rebounding (L5)
+12.6% more
North Dakota State: 38.4
vs
UTEP: 33.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.5%
North Dakota State: 40.7%
vs
UTEP: 30.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NDSU Score
75.0
66
UTEP Score
67.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.1 / 40.7
40.0 / 19.0
Assists
12.0 / 15.1
12.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.1 / 1.9
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 47.7
47.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
56.5 / 64.7
76.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
33.6 / 38.4
31.0 / 27.0
Steals
7.7 / 10.0
12.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 13.2
13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NDSU
Advantage
27-8-0
(77.1%)
Margin: 10.1
ATS +/-: +4.5
UTEP
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NDSU
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 10.1
ATS +/-: +4.5
UTEP
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
NDSU
18-13-2
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.9
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTEP
NDSU
UTEP
NDSU
ML
70%
21-9
49%
17-18
72%
21-8
59%
20-14
ATS
57%
17-13
54%
19-16
73%
22-8
59%
20-14
TTL
60%
18-12
43%
15-20
100%
30-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
UTEP Men's Basketball Unveils 2026-27 Schedule: Mountain West De…
Four Teams Set for 2026 WestStar Don Haskins Sun Bowl Invitation…
McFeely’s Tip Sheet: NDSU at 11K football season tickets, near t…
UTEP men’s basketball team hosting open practice on Thursday, Ju…
Bison men's, women's basketball head coaches sign contract exten…