CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
9-19 | Road
132
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
15-14 | Home
139
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
CAVALIERS
0%
HORNETS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
197.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CHA By 1-7 points
24.3%
CHA By 8-14 points
13.7%
CLE By 1-7 points
26.2%
CLE By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
98
CHARLOTTE
Cleveland
99
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Charlotte
105
CHARLOTTE
Cleveland
118
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u239.5
Loss
Proj Total: 197.0
D
Sim
u239.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 20, 2026
CLE @ CHA
118 - 113
Jan 21, 2026
CLE @ CHA
94 - 87
Dec 22, 2025
CHA @ CLE
132 - 139
Dec 14, 2025
CHA @ CLE
119 - 111
Mar 7, 2025
CLE @ CHA
118 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+8.1% more
Cleveland: 45.9
vs
Charlotte: 42.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.7%
Cleveland: 81.4%
vs
Charlotte: 77.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
Cleveland: 45.6%
vs
Charlotte: 43.0%
Blocks (L5)
+51.1% more
Charlotte: 5.3
vs
Cleveland: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
98.0
132
CLE Score
99.0
139
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 38.0
55.0 / 50.0
Assists
27.5 / 27.5
36.0 / 29.0
Blocks
2.6 / 5.3
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 43.0
55.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
81.4 / 77.7
100.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
45.9 / 42.4
30.0 / 44.0
Steals
8.9 / 9.8
9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 18.3
13.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
CHA
CLE
CHA
ML
60%
69-46
61%
60-39
56%
55-44
48%
40-44
ATS
67%
75-37-3
60%
59-40
56%
55-44
48%
40-44
TTL
59%
68-47
58%
57-42
100%
99-0
100%
84-0
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