RIDER
BRONCSRID
1-9 | Road
79
VCU
RAMSVCU
8-4 | Home
100
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCS
100%
RAMS
0%
BRONCS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-54.0
VCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +54.0 points (VCU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VCU -54.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VCU)
RID By 1-7 points
0.0%
RID By 8-14 points
0.0%
VCU By 1-7 points
0.0%
VCU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Rider
54
RIDER
VCU
108
VCU
Simulated Score
Rider
67
RIDER
VCU
75
VCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (-30.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -54.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
RID @ VCU
79 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+106.9% more
VCU: 16.6
vs
Rider: 8.0
Steals (L5)
+32.1% more
VCU: 7.4
vs
Rider: 5.6
Blocks (L5)
+27.6% more
VCU: 4.5
vs
Rider: 3.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+15.6%
VCU: 40.9%
vs
Rider: 25.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RID Score
54.0
79
VCU Score
108.0
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.9 / 25.3
48.0 / 25.0
Assists
16.6 / 8.0
20.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.5 / 3.6
0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.3 / 36.9
58.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
78.4 / 70.3
77.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
40.4 / 35.3
35.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.4 / 5.6
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 12.8
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RID
4-25-0
(13.8%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
VCU
Advantage
28-8-0
(77.8%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RID
7-18-3
(28.0%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
VCU
Advantage
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
RID
9-19-0
O: 32.1% / U: 67.9%
Total +/-: -0.2
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VCU
RID
VCU
RID
ML
72%
26-10
72%
21-8
67%
22-11
66%
19-10
ATS
81%
29-7
72%
21-8
67%
22-11
66%
19-10
TTL
58%
21-15
62%
18-11
100%
33-0
100%
29-0
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