EASTERN MICHIGAN
EAGLESEMU
6-6 | Road
64
WRIGHT STATE
RAIDERSWRST
5-7 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
RAIDERS
100%
EAGLES
--
RAIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Eastern Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EMU -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EMU)
EMU By 1-7 points
23.0%
EMU By 8-14 points
27.2%
WRST By 1-7 points
10.7%
WRST By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Michigan
68
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Wright State
58
WRIGHT STATE
Simulated Score
Eastern Michigan
75
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Wright State
81
WRIGHT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raiders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Eagles (-8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Raiders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
EMU @ WRST
64 - 70
Dec 21, 2024
WRST @ EMU
82 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+16.5% more
Eastern Michigan: 11.2
vs
Wright State: 9.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.6%
Eastern Michigan: 32.7%
vs
Wright State: 27.1%
Steals (L5)
+46.1% more
Wright State: 8.8
vs
Eastern Michigan: 6.0
Blocks (L5)
+16.9% more
Wright State: 4.2
vs
Eastern Michigan: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EMU Score
68.0
64
WRST Score
58.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.1 / 32.7
27.0 / 38.0
Assists
12.6 / 12.6
13.0 / 7.0
Blocks
4.2 / 3.6
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 44.4
46.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
71.2 / 65.4
63.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
34.6 / 34.6
38.0 / 31.0
Steals
8.8 / 6.0
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 11.2
13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EMU
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
WRST
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EMU
Advantage
20-10-0
(66.7%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
WRST
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0%
Total +/-: -3.6
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WRST
EMU
WRST
EMU
ML
37%
13-22
65%
20-11
63%
22-13
70%
21-9
ATS
46%
16-19
65%
20-11
63%
22-13
70%
21-9
TTL
63%
22-13
71%
22-9
100%
35-0
100%
30-0
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