AI Model Win Probability
TRAILBLAZERS
100%
BLUEJAYS
0%
TRAILBLAZERS
--
BLUEJAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
CREIGHTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Creighton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CREI -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CREI)
UTU By 1-7 points
15.3%
UTU By 8-14 points
5.8%
CREI By 1-7 points
26.2%
CREI By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah Tech
76
UTAH TECH
Creighton
83
CREIGHTON
Simulated Score
Utah Tech
61
UTAH TECH
Creighton
88
CREIGHTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bluejays
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bluejays
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bluejays (+19.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Bluejays (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o147.5
Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
UTU @ CREI
69 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+78.3% more
Creighton: 3.9
vs
Utah Tech: 2.2
Rebounding (L5)
+19.6% more
Creighton: 39.6
vs
Utah Tech: 33.1
Assists (L5)
+14.7% more
Creighton: 18.0
vs
Utah Tech: 15.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Creighton: 38.5%
vs
Utah Tech: 34.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTU Score
76.0
69
CREI Score
83.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.5 / 34.4
39.0 / 33.0
Assists
18.0 / 15.7
23.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.9 / 2.2
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 51.0
54.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
76.1 / 74.5
73.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
39.6 / 33.1
34.0 / 28.0
Steals
6.4 / 8.3
11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 13.0
11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTU
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
CREI
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTU
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
CREI
11-22-1
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.1
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CREI
UTU
CREI
UTU
ML
52%
17-16
68%
23-11
70%
21-9
62%
21-13
ATS
58%
19-14
65%
22-12
70%
21-9
62%
21-13
TTL
52%
17-16
65%
22-12
100%
30-0
100%
34-0