IU INDIANAPOLIS
JAGUARSIUIN
4-9 | Road
78
GRAND CANYON
LOPESGCU
7-4 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
100%
LOPES
0%
JAGUARS
--
LOPES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
GRAND CANYON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Grand Canyon)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GCU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GCU)
IUIN By 1-7 points
13.7%
IUIN By 8-14 points
4.8%
GCU By 1-7 points
25.3%
GCU By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
IU Indianapolis
64
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Grand Canyon
72
GRAND CANYON
Simulated Score
IU Indianapolis
65
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Grand Canyon
82
GRAND CANYON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lopes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lopes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lopes (+23.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Lopes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u167.5
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
IUIN @ GCU
78 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+20.9% more
Grand Canyon: 11.8
vs
IU Indianapolis: 9.8
Rebounding (L5)
+8.6% more
Grand Canyon: 38.1
vs
IU Indianapolis: 35.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
Grand Canyon: 46.5%
vs
IU Indianapolis: 44.7%
Blocks (L5)
+63.5% more
IU Indianapolis: 5.0
vs
Grand Canyon: 1.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IUIN Score
64.0
78
GCU Score
72.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.7 / 30.1
41.0 / 33.0
Assists
13.0 / 25.3
12.0 / 16.0
Blocks
1.8 / 5.0
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 44.7
51.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
73.9 / 74.5
87.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
38.1 / 35.1
35.0 / 26.0
Steals
6.8 / 11.9
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 9.8
15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IUIN
--
GCU
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IUIN
--
GCU
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
IUIN
--
GCU
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GCU
IUIN
GCU
IUIN
ML
66%
21-11
69%
22-10
68%
21-10
78%
25-7
ATS
72%
23-9
66%
21-11
68%
21-10
78%
25-7
TTL
44%
14-18
50%
16-16
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
