Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mavericks @ Golden Eagles UTA @ ORU

UT ARLINGTON

MAVERICKSUTA

7-4  |  Road

69
FINAL
Mon, Dec 22 • 8:00 PM ET
Mabee Center
View Odds Details →

ORAL ROBERTS

GOLDEN EAGLESORU

5-9  |  Home

57
AI Model Win Probability
MAVERICKS
100%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
0%
MAVERICKS --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
120.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
ORAL ROBERTS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Oral Roberts)
MavericksUTA (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesORU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mavericks Cover

11.5%

Golden Eagles Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORU -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORU)

UTA By 1-7 points

8.0%

UTA By 8-14 points

2.2%

ORU By 1-7 points

20.1%

ORU By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
54
UT ARLINGTON
66
ORAL ROBERTS
Simulated Score
72
UT ARLINGTON
77
ORAL ROBERTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 120.0
D
Sim u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 22, 2025 UTA @ ORU 69 - 57
Nov 6, 2023 ORU @ UTA 71 - 75
Dec 16, 2021 UTA @ ORU 62 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +18.1% more
Oral Roberts: 11.2 vs UT Arlington: 9.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.2%
Oral Roberts: 36.9% vs UT Arlington: 26.8%
Free Throw % (L5) +4.2%
Oral Roberts: 74.3% vs UT Arlington: 70.1%
Blocks (L5) +47.3% more
UT Arlington: 3.2 vs Oral Roberts: 1.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTA Score 54.0 69
ORU Score 66.0 57
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.9 / 26.8 10.0 / 44.0
Assists 11.2 / 9.5 7.0 / 14.0
Blocks 1.7 / 3.2 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.4 / 42.9 31.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 74.3 / 70.1 84.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 31.0 / 32.3 34.0 / 35.0
Steals 5.8 / 5.8 11.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 14.1 / 13.6 14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
90%MONEY10%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTA Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
ORU
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTA Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
ORU
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UTA
7-23-0
O: 23.3% / U: 76.7% Total +/-: -4.7
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORU
UTA
ORU
UTA
ML
85% 28-5
50% 16-16
73% 24-9
62% 20-12
ATS
82% 27-6
59% 19-13
73% 24-9
62% 20-12
TTL
61% 20-13
53% 17-15
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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