STETSON
HATTERSSTET
4-8 | Road
54
OKLAHOMA
SOONERSOU
8-3 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
HATTERS
100%
SOONERS
0%
HATTERS
--
SOONERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Oklahoma)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OU -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)
STET By 1-7 points
0.5%
STET By 8-14 points
0.1%
OU By 1-7 points
3.3%
OU By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Stetson
65
STETSON
Oklahoma
90
OKLAHOMA
Simulated Score
Stetson
64
STETSON
Oklahoma
82
OKLAHOMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sooners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sooners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sooners (+31.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim
Sooners (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o147.5
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
STET @ OU
54 - 107
Nov 16, 2024
STET @ OU
64 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+144.4% more
Oklahoma: 4.1
vs
Stetson: 1.7
Assists (L5)
+21.7% more
Oklahoma: 17.4
vs
Stetson: 14.3
Rebounding (L5)
+16.2% more
Oklahoma: 41.3
vs
Stetson: 35.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.7%
Oklahoma: 67.9%
vs
Stetson: 58.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STET Score
65.0
54
OU Score
90.0
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.3 / 29.9
50.0 / 18.0
Assists
17.4 / 14.3
22.0 / 6.0
Blocks
4.1 / 1.7
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 42.9
68.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
67.9 / 58.2
68.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
41.3 / 35.5
39.0 / 24.0
Steals
6.6 / 7.3
8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 13.6
8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STET
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
OU
Advantage
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STET
Advantage
18-13-0
(58.1%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
OU
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.6
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OU
STET
OU
STET
ML
78%
28-8
55%
18-15
59%
20-14
73%
24-9
ATS
72%
26-10
64%
21-12
59%
20-14
73%
24-9
TTL
75%
27-9
61%
20-13
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
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