Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Toreros @ Huskies USD @ WASH

SAN DIEGO

TOREROSUSD

5-6  |  Road

56
FINAL
Mon, Dec 22 • 10:00 PM ET
Alaska Airlines Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

HUSKIESWASH

7-4  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
TOREROS
100%
📊
HUSKIES
0%
TOREROS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Washington)
TorerosUSD (-3.5) 0 HuskiesWASH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Toreros Cover

18.4%

Huskies Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WASH -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WASH)

USD By 1-7 points

12.2%

USD By 8-14 points

4.0%

WASH By 1-7 points

24.3%

WASH By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
79
SAN DIEGO
88
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
70
SAN DIEGO
75
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Huskies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.5 Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 22, 2025 USD @ WASH 56 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +31.0% more
Washington: 41.6 vs San Diego: 31.8
Blocks (L5) +24.6% more
Washington: 3.3 vs San Diego: 2.6
Steals (L5) +16.2% more
San Diego: 8.4 vs Washington: 7.1
Turnovers (L5) +9.5% more
San Diego: 12.3 vs Washington: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USD Score 79.0 56
WASH Score 88.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.8 / 34.2 24.0 / 31.0
Assists 14.6 / 16.1 15.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.6 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.9 / 44.3 47.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 79.3 / 81.9 79.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 41.6 / 31.8 46.0 / 28.0
Steals 7.1 / 8.4 9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 12.3 12.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USD
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
WASH Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USD
16-15-0 (51.6%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
WASH Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
USD
12-17-2
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6% Total +/-: +0.5
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WASH
USD
WASH
USD
ML
45% 15-18
58% 19-14
66% 21-11
70% 23-10
ATS
48% 16-17
55% 18-15
66% 21-11
70% 23-10
TTL
70% 23-10
61% 20-13
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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