Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Chippewas @ Badgers CMU @ WIS

CENTRAL MICHIGAN

CHIPPEWASCMU

4-8  |  Road

61
FINAL
Mon, Dec 22 • 8:00 PM ET
Kohl Center
View Odds Details →

WISCONSIN

BADGERSWIS

7-4  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
CHIPPEWAS
100%
📊
BADGERS
0%
CHIPPEWAS --
BADGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
WISCONSIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Wisconsin)
ChippewasCMU (-3.5) 0 BadgersWIS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chippewas Cover

0.1%

Badgers Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WIS -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIS)

CMU By 1-7 points

0.1%

CMU By 8-14 points

0.0%

WIS By 1-7 points

0.8%

WIS By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
54
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
85
WISCONSIN
Simulated Score
59
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
78
WISCONSIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Badgers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Badgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Badgers (-29.5) Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim Badgers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 22, 2025 CMU @ WIS 61 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +27.7% more
Wisconsin: 36.5 vs Central Michigan: 28.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.2%
Wisconsin: 34.9% vs Central Michigan: 26.7%
Free Throw % (L5) +7.4%
Wisconsin: 74.8% vs Central Michigan: 67.4%
Blocks (L5) +30.4% more
Central Michigan: 4.0 vs Wisconsin: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CMU Score 54.0 61
WIS Score 85.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.9 / 26.7 42.0 / 29.0
Assists 15.0 / 16.6 25.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.8 / 4.0 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 42.2 / 45.4 54.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 74.8 / 67.4 65.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 36.5 / 28.6 41.0 / 22.0
Steals 5.6 / 6.4 2.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.6 / 12.0 9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
20%MONEY80%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
WIS Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 6.9 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CMU
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
WIS Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 6.9 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2% Total +/-: +0.4
WIS
22-13-0
O: 62.9% / U: 37.1% Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIS
CMU
WIS
CMU
ML
60% 21-14
57% 17-13
69% 24-11
70% 21-9
ATS
51% 18-17
67% 20-10
69% 24-11
70% 21-9
TTL
57% 20-15
67% 20-10
100% 35-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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