STONEHILL
SKYHAWKSSTO
3-9 | Road
48
SYRACUSE
ORANGESYR
8-4 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
SKYHAWKS
100%
ORANGE
0%
SKYHAWKS
--
ORANGE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
SYRACUSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Syracuse)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SYR -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SYR)
STO By 1-7 points
3.3%
STO By 8-14 points
0.6%
SYR By 1-7 points
12.2%
SYR By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Stonehill
60
STONEHILL
Syracuse
77
SYRACUSE
Simulated Score
Stonehill
60
STONEHILL
Syracuse
82
SYRACUSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Orange
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Orange
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Orange (+22.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Orange (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
STO @ SYR
48 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+87.1% more
Syracuse: 7.3
vs
Stonehill: 3.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Syracuse: 47.6%
vs
Stonehill: 43.6%
Turnovers (L5)
+18.8% more
Stonehill: 15.0
vs
Syracuse: 12.2
Assists (L5)
+16.4% more
Stonehill: 12.8
vs
Syracuse: 10.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STO Score
60.0
48
SYR Score
77.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.6 / 30.7
43.0 / 36.0
Assists
10.7 / 12.8
11.0 / 9.0
Blocks
7.3 / 3.9
12.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 43.6
48.0 / 26.0
Free Throw %
65.6 / 74.2
48.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
36.4 / 40.6
42.0 / 40.0
Steals
5.6 / 6.5
6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 15.0
5.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STO
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
SYR
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STO
Advantage
14-15-2
(48.3%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
SYR
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
STO
11-20-0
O: 35.5% / U: 64.5%
Total +/-: -4.0
SYR
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SYR
STO
SYR
STO
ML
78%
25-7
45%
15-18
69%
22-10
70%
23-10
ATS
69%
22-10
39%
13-20
69%
22-10
70%
23-10
TTL
66%
21-11
55%
18-15
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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