AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
RAMS
0%
HUSKIES
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
RHODE ISLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Rhode Island)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around URI -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (URI)
NE By 1-7 points
6.8%
NE By 8-14 points
1.7%
URI By 1-7 points
18.6%
URI By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Northeastern
55
NORTHEASTERN
Rhode Island
68
RHODE ISLAND
Simulated Score
Northeastern
68
NORTHEASTERN
Rhode Island
72
RHODE ISLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u140.5
Loss
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
NE @ URI
77 - 85
Dec 30, 2023
NE @ URI
71 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+22.2% more
Rhode Island: 8.4
vs
Northeastern: 6.9
Turnovers (L5)
+8.5% more
Rhode Island: 14.8
vs
Northeastern: 13.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.6%
Rhode Island: 75.3%
vs
Northeastern: 67.7%
Assists (L5)
+33.7% more
Northeastern: 16.2
vs
Rhode Island: 10.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NE Score
55.0
77
URI Score
68.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.6 / 34.7
36.0 / 48.0
Assists
10.7 / 16.2
11.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.4 / 4.3
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 46.1
55.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
75.3 / 67.7
69.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
35.6 / 34.2
33.0 / 25.0
Steals
8.4 / 6.9
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 13.6
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NE
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
URI
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NE
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
URI
Advantage
13-18-1
(41.9%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +7.6
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4%
Total +/-: -5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
URI
NE
URI
NE
ML
62%
20-12
70%
21-9
59%
19-13
60%
18-12
ATS
56%
18-14
63%
19-11
59%
19-13
60%
18-12
TTL
56%
18-14
53%
16-14
100%
32-0
100%
30-0