Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Delta Devils @ Mountaineers MVSU @ WVU

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE

DELTA DEVILSMVSU

1-11  |  Road

51
FINAL
Mon, Dec 22 • 7:00 PM ET
WVU Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WEST VIRGINIA

MOUNTAINEERSWVU

8-4  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
DELTA DEVILS
100%
📊
MOUNTAINEERS
0%
DELTA DEVILS --
MOUNTAINEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
WEST VIRGINIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (West Virginia)
Delta DevilsMVSU (-3.5) 0 MountaineersWVU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Delta Devils Cover

0.0%

Mountaineers Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WVU -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WVU)

MVSU By 1-7 points

0.0%

MVSU By 8-14 points

0.0%

WVU By 1-7 points

0.0%

WVU By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
59
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
102
WEST VIRGINIA
Simulated Score
52
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
88
WEST VIRGINIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountaineers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Sim Mountaineers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.5 Loss
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 22, 2025 MVSU @ WVU 51 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +35.3% more
West Virginia: 40.5 vs Mississippi Valley State: 29.9
Assists (L5) +19.3% more
West Virginia: 15.9 vs Mississippi Valley State: 13.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +15.1%
West Virginia: 39.0% vs Mississippi Valley State: 23.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
West Virginia: 45.2% vs Mississippi Valley State: 40.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MVSU Score 59.0 51
WVU Score 102.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.0 / 23.9 44.0 / 11.0
Assists 15.9 / 13.3 17.0 / 6.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.6 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.2 / 40.2 54.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 67.9 / 67.1 78.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 40.5 / 29.9 34.0 / 27.0
Steals 6.8 / 8.1 3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.2 / 21.7 6.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MVSU
3-30-0 (9.1%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
WVU Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MVSU
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
WVU Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MVSU
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +1.0
WVU
13-21-1
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WVU
MVSU
WVU
MVSU
ML
63% 22-13
91% 30-3
76% 26-8
75% 18-6
ATS
60% 21-14
82% 27-6
76% 26-8
75% 18-6
TTL
40% 14-21
58% 19-14
100% 34-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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