COASTAL CAROLINA
CHANTICLEERSCCU
7-6 | Road
68
SAINT JOSEPH'S
HAWKSJOES
7-4 | Home
62
AI Model Win Probability
CHANTICLEERS
0%
HAWKS
100%
CHANTICLEERS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
COASTAL CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Coastal Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CCU -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCU)
CCU By 1-7 points
9.3%
CCU By 8-14 points
20.1%
JOES By 1-7 points
2.2%
JOES By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Coastal Carolina
84
COASTAL CAROLINA
Saint Joseph's
65
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Simulated Score
Coastal Carolina
71
COASTAL CAROLINA
Saint Joseph's
75
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Chanticleers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Chanticleers (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
CCU @ JOES
68 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+93.8% more
Saint Joseph's: 6.2
vs
Coastal Carolina: 3.2
Turnovers (L5)
+84.5% more
Saint Joseph's: 13.2
vs
Coastal Carolina: 7.2
Assists (L5)
+51.9% more
Saint Joseph's: 14.5
vs
Coastal Carolina: 9.6
Steals (L5)
+36.6% more
Saint Joseph's: 7.3
vs
Coastal Carolina: 5.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CCU Score
84.0
68
JOES Score
65.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.8 / 25.7
17.0 / 19.0
Assists
14.5 / 9.6
10.0 / 13.0
Blocks
6.2 / 3.2
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.9 / 37.5
35.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
72.2 / 69.7
79.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
42.6 / 36.4
37.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.3 / 5.4
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 7.2
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +0.4
JOES
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU
Advantage
18-12-1
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +0.4
JOES
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: -0.6
JOES
11-23-0
O: 32.4% / U: 67.7%
Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JOES
CCU
JOES
CCU
ML
51%
18-17
41%
13-19
61%
20-13
55%
17-14
ATS
60%
21-14
38%
12-20
61%
20-13
55%
17-14
TTL
54%
19-16
75%
24-8
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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