AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
HIGHLANDERS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
BUTLER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Butler)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BUT -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUT)
NJIT By 1-7 points
1.4%
NJIT By 8-14 points
0.2%
BUT By 1-7 points
6.8%
BUT By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
NJIT
69
NJIT
Butler
90
BUTLER
Simulated Score
NJIT
60
NJIT
Butler
81
BUTLER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+32.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o147.5
Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
NJIT @ BUT
52 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+97.7% more
Butler: 7.0
vs
NJIT: 3.5
Blocks (L5)
+70.1% more
Butler: 4.0
vs
NJIT: 2.3
Assists (L5)
+30.3% more
Butler: 14.2
vs
NJIT: 10.9
Rebounding (L5)
+14.7% more
Butler: 38.5
vs
NJIT: 33.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJIT Score
69.0
52
BUT Score
90.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.5 / 27.4
38.0 / 26.0
Assists
14.2 / 10.9
22.0 / 8.0
Blocks
4.0 / 2.3
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
40.9 / 36.1
56.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
71.1 / 69.3
75.0 / 45.0
Rebounding
38.5 / 33.6
46.0 / 22.0
Steals
7.0 / 3.5
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 13.6
8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NJIT
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
BUT
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NJIT
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
BUT
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
NJIT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.5
BUT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUT
NJIT
BUT
NJIT
ML
62%
20-12
78%
25-7
65%
20-11
62%
20-12
ATS
56%
18-14
72%
23-9
65%
20-11
62%
20-12
TTL
50%
16-16
47%
15-17
100%
31-0
100%
32-0