Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Chargers @ Rams NHVN @ FOR

NEW HAVEN

CHARGERSNHVN

5-6  |  Road

47
FINAL
Mon, Dec 22 • 11:00 AM ET
Rose Hill Gym
View Odds Details →

FORDHAM

RAMSFOR

8-4  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
CHARGERS
100%
📊
RAMS
0%
CHARGERS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
FORDHAM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Fordham)
ChargersNHVN (-3.5) 0 RamsFOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chargers Cover

15.9%

Rams Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FOR -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FOR)

NHVN By 1-7 points

10.7%

NHVN By 8-14 points

3.3%

FOR By 1-7 points

23.0%

FOR By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
68
NEW HAVEN
78
FORDHAM
Simulated Score
65
NEW HAVEN
78
FORDHAM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rams (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.5 Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 22, 2025 NHVN @ FOR 47 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +31.2% more
Fordham: 16.8 vs New Haven: 12.8
Turnovers (L5) +22.5% more
Fordham: 11.6 vs New Haven: 9.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.8%
Fordham: 35.2% vs New Haven: 26.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.9%
Fordham: 50.3% vs New Haven: 43.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NHVN Score 68.0 47
FOR Score 78.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.2 / 26.4 28.0 / 26.0
Assists 16.8 / 12.8 14.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.3 / 2.4 0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 50.3 / 43.4 51.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 71.1 / 65.3 75.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 40.6 / 38.3 38.0 / 24.0
Steals 6.7 / 8.9 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 9.4 15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NHVN
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: +1.3
FOR Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NHVN
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: +1.3
FOR Advantage
16-12-1 (57.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NHVN
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -3.5
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9% Total +/-: -6.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FOR
NHVN
FOR
NHVN
ML
59% 19-13
71% 22-9
59% 19-13
68% 21-10
ATS
59% 19-13
74% 23-8
59% 19-13
68% 21-10
TTL
59% 19-13
42% 13-18
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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