AI Model Win Probability
DROVERS
100%
MEAN GREEN
0%
DROVERS
--
MEAN GREEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
NORTH TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (North Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNT -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNT)
SAOK By 1-7 points
0.0%
SAOK By 8-14 points
0.0%
UNT By 1-7 points
0.0%
UNT By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Science & Arts (OK)
50
SCIENCE & ARTS (OK)
North Texas
91
NORTH TEXAS
Simulated Score
Science & Arts (OK)
57
SCIENCE & ARTS (OK)
North Texas
88
NORTH TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mean Green
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mean Green
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mean Green (-33.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Sim
Mean Green (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 22, 2025
SAOK @ UNT
56 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+118.4% more
North Texas: 5.6
vs
Science & Arts (OK): 2.6
Steals (L5)
+107.9% more
North Texas: 9.0
vs
Science & Arts (OK): 4.3
Assists (L5)
+30.7% more
North Texas: 12.2
vs
Science & Arts (OK): 9.3
Rebounding (L5)
+12.5% more
North Texas: 30.6
vs
Science & Arts (OK): 27.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAOK Score
50.0
56
UNT Score
91.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
23.1 / 32.8
50.0 / 24.0
Assists
12.2 / 9.3
20.0 / 9.0
Blocks
5.6 / 2.6
5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
41.8 / 43.0
64.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
68.2 / 73.2
61.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
30.6 / 27.2
33.0 / 29.0
Steals
9.0 / 4.3
16.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 17.1
11.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAOK
--
UNT
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAOK
--
UNT
Advantage
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
SAOK
--
UNT
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNT
SAOK
UNT
SAOK
ML
70%
23-10
100%
1-0
59%
19-13
100%
1-0
ATS
52%
17-16
100%
1-0
59%
19-13
100%
1-0
TTL
67%
22-11
100%
1-0
100%
32-0
100%
1-0