Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Seahawks @ Revolutionaries STMARYSMD @ GW

ST. MARY'S (MD)

SEAHAWKSSTMARYSMD

0-0  |  Road

40
FINAL
Mon, Dec 22 • 12:00 PM ET
Charles E. Smith Center
View Odds Details →

GEORGE WASHINGTON

REVOLUTIONARIESGW

8-4  |  Home

97
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
100%
📊
REVOLUTIONARIES
0%
SEAHAWKS --
REVOLUTIONARIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (George Washington)
SeahawksSTMARYSMD (-3.5) 0 RevolutionariesGW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

30.9%

Revolutionaries Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GW -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GW)

STMARYSMD By 1-7 points

18.6%

STMARYSMD By 8-14 points

8.0%

GW By 1-7 points

27.2%

GW By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
77
ST. MARY'S (MD)
82
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
52
ST. MARY'S (MD)
85
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Revolutionaries Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Revolutionaries Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Revolutionaries (+19.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Revolutionaries (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o156.5 Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 22, 2025 STMARYSMD @ GW 40 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +80.2% more
George Washington: 15.2 vs St. Mary's (MD): 8.5
Rebounding (L5) +64.1% more
George Washington: 35.7 vs St. Mary's (MD): 21.8
Steals (L5) +51.3% more
George Washington: 8.2 vs St. Mary's (MD): 5.4
Blocks (L5) +49.1% more
George Washington: 3.2 vs St. Mary's (MD): 2.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STMARYSMD Score 77.0 40
GW Score 82.0 97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.3 / 28.3 40.0 / 17.0
Assists 15.2 / 8.5 23.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.2 / 2.2 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 42.9 / 35.2 52.0 / 25.0
Free Throw % 61.7 / 65.5 73.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 35.7 / 21.8 53.0 / 27.0
Steals 8.2 / 5.4 14.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 18.7 16.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STMARYSMD
--
GW Advantage
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STMARYSMD
--
GW Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
STMARYSMD
--
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GW
STMARYSMD
GW
STMARYSMD
ML
63% 22-13
100% 2-0
60% 21-14
100% 2-0
ATS
69% 24-11
100% 2-0
60% 21-14
100% 2-0
TTL
60% 21-14
0% 0-2
100% 35-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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