Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Gamecocks SCST @ SC

SOUTH CAROLINA STATE

BULLDOGSSCST

1-12  |  Road

70
FINAL
Mon, Dec 22 • 4:00 PM ET
Colonial Life Arena
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA

GAMECOCKSSC

7-4  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
GAMECOCKS
0%
BULLDOGS --
GAMECOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (South Carolina)
BulldogsSCST (-3.5) 0 GamecocksSC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

0.0%

Gamecocks Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SC -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SC)

SCST By 1-7 points

0.0%

SCST By 8-14 points

0.0%

SC By 1-7 points

0.1%

SC By 8-14 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
50
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
90
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
59
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
78
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gamecocks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim Gamecocks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u140.5 Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 22, 2025 SCST @ SC 70 - 95
Nov 8, 2024 SCST @ SC 64 - 86
Nov 8, 2022 SCST @ SC 77 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +17.3%
South Carolina: 81.3% vs South Carolina State: 63.9%
Rebounding (L5) +10.9% more
South Carolina: 35.6 vs South Carolina State: 32.1
Turnovers (L5) +18.6% more
South Carolina State: 13.4 vs South Carolina: 10.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +14.0%
South Carolina State: 36.5% vs South Carolina: 22.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SCST Score 50.0 70
SC Score 90.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 22.5 / 36.5 29.0 / 47.0
Assists 11.8 / 11.4 16.0 / 18.0
Blocks 2.3 / 2.4 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.0 / 42.5 59.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 81.3 / 63.9 86.0 / 56.0
Rebounding 35.6 / 32.1 36.0 / 22.0
Steals 4.9 / 5.6 7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 13.4 15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCST
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
SC Advantage
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCST Advantage
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
SC
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.6
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
SCST
SC
SCST
ML
72% 23-9
61% 19-12
68% 21-10
74% 20-7
ATS
69% 22-10
68% 21-10
68% 21-10
74% 20-7
TTL
50% 16-16
52% 16-15
100% 31-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
bleacherreport 2 hours, 9 minutes ago
Shockers Stumble in Charity Exhibition Against Murray State, 93-…
thesunflower 2 hours, 17 minutes ago
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
wsls 2 hours, 21 minutes ago
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
saturdaydownsouth 8 hours, 23 minutes ago
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…
si 8 hours, 26 minutes ago