Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Hoyas COPP @ GTWN

COPPIN STATE

EAGLESCOPP

2-13  |  Road

67
FINAL
Mon, Dec 22 • 6:30 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

GEORGETOWN

HOYASGTWN

8-4  |  Home

97
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
HOYAS
0%
EAGLES --
HOYAS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
GEORGETOWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Georgetown)
EaglesCOPP (-3.5) 0 HoyasGTWN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

2.3%

Hoyas Cover

97.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GTWN -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GTWN)

COPP By 1-7 points

1.7%

COPP By 8-14 points

0.3%

GTWN By 1-7 points

8.0%

GTWN By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
64
COPPIN STATE
84
GEORGETOWN
Simulated Score
60
COPPIN STATE
80
GEORGETOWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hoyas Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hoyas Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hoyas (+32.5) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Hoyas (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 22, 2025 COPP @ GTWN 67 - 97
Dec 28, 2024 COPP @ GTWN 53 - 83
Dec 12, 2023 COPP @ GTWN 54 - 71
Nov 8, 2022 COPP @ GTWN 89 - 99
Dec 8, 2020 COPP @ GTWN 48 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +54.8% more
Georgetown: 3.9 vs Coppin State: 2.5
Assists (L5) +44.3% more
Georgetown: 15.8 vs Coppin State: 11.0
Rebounding (L5) +32.9% more
Georgetown: 37.7 vs Coppin State: 28.3
Field Goal % (L5) +3.9%
Georgetown: 43.3% vs Coppin State: 39.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COPP Score 64.0 67
GTWN Score 84.0 97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.9 / 29.0 41.0 / 36.0
Assists 15.8 / 11.0 21.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.9 / 2.5 5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 43.3 / 39.4 55.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 70.2 / 74.6 71.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 37.7 / 28.3 37.0 / 32.0
Steals 5.9 / 6.6 11.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.7 / 15.8 7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
23%MONEY77%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COPP
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
GTWN Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COPP Advantage
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
GTWN
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +2.1
GTWN
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GTWN
COPP
GTWN
COPP
ML
67% 22-11
65% 20-11
73% 22-8
79% 19-5
ATS
58% 19-14
68% 21-10
73% 22-8
79% 19-5
TTL
58% 19-14
52% 16-15
100% 30-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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