FLORIDA A&M
RATTLERSFAMU
3-6 | Road
56
TCU
HORNED FROGSTCU
8-3 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
RATTLERS
100%
HORNED FROGS
0%
RATTLERS
--
HORNED FROGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
110.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
TCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (TCU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TCU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TCU)
FAMU By 1-7 points
16.9%
FAMU By 8-14 points
6.8%
TCU By 1-7 points
26.8%
TCU By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida A&M
52
FLORIDA A&M
TCU
58
TCU
Simulated Score
Florida A&M
57
FLORIDA A&M
TCU
88
TCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Horned Frogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Horned Frogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Horned Frogs (+29.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Horned Frogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.0
Win
Proj Total: 110.0
D
Sim
u144.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 21, 2025
FAMU @ TCU
56 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+38.2% more
TCU: 5.1
vs
Florida A&M: 3.7
Assists (L5)
+32.7% more
TCU: 12.7
vs
Florida A&M: 9.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.5%
TCU: 68.2%
vs
Florida A&M: 59.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
TCU: 46.5%
vs
Florida A&M: 41.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FAMU Score
52.0
56
TCU Score
58.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.2 / 28.4
35.0 / 29.0
Assists
12.7 / 9.6
18.0 / 16.0
Blocks
5.1 / 3.7
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 41.5
42.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
68.2 / 59.7
86.0 / 47.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 32.9
43.0 / 25.0
Steals
7.2 / 9.0
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 17.1
11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAMU
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
TCU
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
TCU
19-16-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
FAMU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -1.7
TCU
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TCU
FAMU
TCU
FAMU
ML
74%
26-9
55%
16-13
63%
19-11
71%
17-7
ATS
74%
26-9
48%
14-15
63%
19-11
71%
17-7
TTL
66%
23-12
76%
22-7
100%
30-0
100%
24-0
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