Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Oregon @ Texas Tech ORE @ TTU

OREGON

OREGONORE

12-1  |  Road

23
FINAL
Thu, Jan 1 • 12:00 PM ET
Hard Rock Stadium
View Odds Details →

TEXAS TECH

TEXAS TECHTTU

12-1  |  Home

0
AI Model Win Probability
OREGON
100%
📊
TEXAS TECH
0%
OREGON --
TEXAS TECH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
55.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
TEXAS TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Texas Tech)
OregonORE (-3.5) 0 Texas TechTTU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oregon Cover

30.9%

Texas Tech Cover

69.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around TTU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TTU)

ORE By 1-6 points

12.9%

ORE By 7-13 points

9.6%

TTU By 1-6 points

16.5%

TTU By 7-13 points

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
24
OREGON
31
TEXAS TECH
Simulated Score
34
OREGON
27
TEXAS TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Texas Tech Loss
0% Win Prob
B
Sim Oregon Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Texas Tech (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Sim Oregon (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o50.5 Loss
Proj Total: 55.0
B
Sim o50.5 Loss
Proj Total: 61.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 1, 2026 ORE @ TTU 23 - 0
Sep 9, 2023 ORE @ TTU 38 - 30
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +30.6% more
Oregon: 1.1 vs Texas Tech: 0.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORE Score 24.0 23
TTU Score 31.0 0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
54%MONEY46%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORE
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 24.3 ATS +/-: -3.8
TTU Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 18.6 ATS +/-: -6.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORE Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 24.3 ATS +/-: -3.8
TTU
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 18.6 ATS +/-: -6.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ORE
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +10.3
TTU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TTU
ORE
TTU
ORE
ML
100% 5-0
75% 3-1
100% 5-0
50% 2-2
ATS
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
TTL
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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