Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Nebraska @ Utah NEB @ UTAH

NEBRASKA

NEBRASKANEB

7-5  |  Road

22
FINAL
Wed, Dec 31 • 3:30 PM ET
Allegiant Stadium
View Odds Details →

UTAH

UTAHUTAH

10-2  |  Home

44
Key Game
Kyle Cunanan
KEY GAME

Kyle Cunanan

#91 | Place kicker
@
Orion Phillips
KEY GAME

Orion Phillips

#92 | Punter
Player
Kyle Cunanan None-None
Orion Phillips None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
NEBRASKA
100%
📊
UTAH
0%
NEBRASKA --
UTAH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
58.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Utah)
NebraskaNEB (-3.5) 0 UtahUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nebraska Cover

9.9%

Utah Cover

90.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around UTAH -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

NEB By 1-6 points

5.3%

NEB By 7-13 points

2.8%

UTAH By 1-6 points

10.0%

UTAH By 7-13 points

16.8%

AI Model Projected Score
20
NEBRASKA
38
UTAH
Simulated Score
20
NEBRASKA
27
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Utah Win
0% Win Prob
B
Sim Utah Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Utah (-14) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
B
Sim Utah (-14) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o50.5 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
B
Sim u50.5 Loss
Proj Total: 47.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 31, 2025 NEB @ UTAH 22 - 44
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +51.0% more
Utah: 259.1 vs Nebraska: 171.6
Total Yards (L5) +50.0% more
Utah: 476.0 vs Nebraska: 317.3
First Downs (L5) +39.1% more
Utah: 23.8 vs Nebraska: 17.1
Turnovers (L5) +23.0% more
Utah: 0.9 vs Nebraska: 0.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NEB Score 20.0 22
UTAH Score 38.0 44
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NEB
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 29.4 ATS +/-: +8.8
UTAH
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 33.0 ATS +/-: +11.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NEB
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 29.4 ATS +/-: +8.8
UTAH Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 33.0 ATS +/-: +11.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NEB
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +6.9
UTAH
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
NEB
UTAH
NEB
ML
100% 4-0
100% 5-0
100% 4-0
80% 4-1
ATS
50% 2-2
20% 1-4
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
TTL
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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