Home / NBA Projections NBA / Celtics @ Knicks BOS @ NY

BOSTON

CELTICSBOS

0-2  |  Road

115
FINAL
Sat, May 10 • 3:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

2-0  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
📊
KNICKS
100%
CELTICS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
210.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.9
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.9 points (Boston)
CelticsBOS (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Celtics Cover

68.8%

Knicks Cover

31.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -4.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BOS By 1-7 points

27.3%

BOS By 8-14 points

22.9%

NY By 1-7 points

18.7%

NY By 8-14 points

8.1%

AI Model Projected Score
107.45
BOSTON
102.55
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
108
BOSTON
115
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Celtics Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knicks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Celtics (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.9
D
Sim Knicks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 BOS @ NY 106 - 112
Feb 8, 2026 NY @ BOS 111 - 89
Dec 2, 2025 NY @ BOS 117 - 123
Oct 24, 2025 BOS @ NY 95 - 105
May 16, 2025 BOS @ NY 81 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +11.2%
Boston: 82.9% vs New York: 71.8%
Rebounding (L5) +8.2% more
Boston: 48.9 vs New York: 44.9
Steals (L5) +32.3% more
New York: 9.3 vs Boston: 7.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
New York: 36.0% vs Boston: 31.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 107.5 115
NY Score 102.6 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.0 / 31.7 20.0 / 50.0
Assists 19.3 / 19.7 16.0 / 23.0
Blocks 4.5 / 4.9 2.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 43.6 / 41.4 40.0 / 48.2
Free Throw % 71.8 / 82.9 68.6 / 88.2
Rebounding 44.9 / 48.9 43.0 / 42.0
Steals 9.3 / 7.1 3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.5 / 14.4 11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
59-30-0 (66.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS Advantage
51-38-0 (57.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
NY
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0% Total +/-: -3.2
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
BOS
NY
BOS
ML
61% 114-72
57% 61-46
56% 57-45
53% 47-41
ATS
67% 124-62
59% 61-43-3
56% 57-45
53% 47-41
TTL
72% 133-53
56% 60-47
100% 102-0
100% 88-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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