NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
3-1 | Road
102
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
1-3 | Home
127
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
CELTICS
0%
KNICKS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.7
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.7 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -3.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
NY By 1-7 points
20.5%
NY By 8-14 points
9.6%
BOS By 1-7 points
27.4%
BOS By 8-14 points
21.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
105.19
NEW YORK
Boston
108.93
BOSTON
Simulated Score
New York
108
NEW YORK
Boston
115
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.7
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 214.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
BOS @ NY
106 - 112
Feb 8, 2026
NY @ BOS
111 - 89
Dec 2, 2025
NY @ BOS
117 - 123
Oct 24, 2025
BOS @ NY
95 - 105
May 16, 2025
BOS @ NY
81 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+47.9% more
Boston: 4.6
vs
New York: 3.1
Steals (L5)
+10.0% more
Boston: 7.1
vs
New York: 6.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.7%
Boston: 80.8%
vs
New York: 72.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.5%
Boston: 37.7%
vs
New York: 32.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
105.2
102
BOS Score
108.9
127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 32.2
44.9 / 40.0
Assists
18.9 / 20.5
27.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.6 / 3.1
12.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 46.4
52.4 / 35.8
Free Throw %
80.8 / 72.2
65.4 / 80.0
Rebounding
41.4 / 43.9
44.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.1 / 6.5
3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 12.9
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
BOS
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
NY
BOS
NY
ML
57%
61-46
61%
114-72
53%
47-41
56%
57-45
ATS
59%
61-43-3
67%
124-62
53%
47-41
56%
57-45
TTL
56%
60-47
72%
133-53
100%
88-0
100%
102-0
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