BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
2-3 | Road
81
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
3-2 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
KNICKS
100%
CELTICS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.6
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.6 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -3.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
27.3%
BOS By 8-14 points
21.1%
NY By 1-7 points
20.7%
NY By 8-14 points
9.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
108.43
BOSTON
New York
104.8
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Boston
105
BOSTON
New York
112
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.6
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 213.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
BOS @ NY
106 - 112
Feb 8, 2026
NY @ BOS
111 - 89
Dec 2, 2025
NY @ BOS
117 - 123
Oct 24, 2025
BOS @ NY
95 - 105
May 16, 2025
BOS @ NY
81 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+51.7% more
Boston: 7.1
vs
New York: 3.4
Assists (L5)
+10.5% more
Boston: 21.6
vs
New York: 19.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.3%
Boston: 40.1%
vs
New York: 34.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Boston: 47.6%
vs
New York: 42.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
108.4
81
NY Score
104.8
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.8 / 40.1
35.6 / 30.0
Assists
19.3 / 21.6
25.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.4 / 7.1
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.9 / 47.6
46.2 / 36.0
Free Throw %
74.8 / 75.7
90.5 / 70.0
Rebounding
42.6 / 42.3
55.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.0 / 5.8
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 11.7
14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
BOS
NY
BOS
ML
61%
114-72
57%
61-46
56%
57-45
53%
47-41
ATS
67%
124-62
59%
61-43-3
56%
57-45
53%
47-41
TTL
72%
133-53
56%
60-47
100%
102-0
100%
88-0
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