INDIANA
PACERSIND
0-0 | Road
138
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
0-0 | Home
135
AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
100%
KNICKS
0%
PACERS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
IND By 1-7 points
25.2%
IND By 8-14 points
15.1%
NY By 1-7 points
25.4%
NY By 8-14 points
15.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Indiana
112.89
INDIANA
New York
112.99
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Indiana
114
INDIANA
New York
118
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knicks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -0.1
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 225.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 17, 2026
IND @ NY
110 - 136
Mar 13, 2026
NY @ IND
101 - 92
Feb 10, 2026
IND @ NY
137 - 134
Dec 18, 2025
NY @ IND
114 - 113
May 31, 2025
NY @ IND
108 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+10.6% more
New York: 46.7
vs
Indiana: 42.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.7%
New York: 80.0%
vs
Indiana: 78.3%
Blocks (L5)
+34.0% more
Indiana: 6.5
vs
New York: 4.3
Assists (L5)
+27.7% more
Indiana: 29.3
vs
New York: 21.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IND Score
112.9
138
NY Score
113.0
135
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 40.7
32.4 / 40.5
Assists
21.2 / 29.3
24.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.3 / 6.5
8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 50.0
51.1 / 51.0
Free Throw %
80.0 / 78.3
70.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
46.7 / 42.2
46.0 / 39.0
Steals
6.3 / 7.0
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 13.5
15.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IND
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
IND
NY
IND
ML
61%
114-72
48%
47-50
56%
57-45
54%
45-38
ATS
67%
124-62
59%
57-40
56%
57-45
54%
45-38
TTL
72%
133-53
54%
52-45
100%
102-0
100%
83-0
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