INDIANA
PACERSIND
1-0 | Road
114
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
0-1 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
0%
KNICKS
100%
PACERS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.3
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.3 points (Indiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IND -5.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)
IND By 1-7 points
27.1%
IND By 8-14 points
23.5%
NY By 1-7 points
18.0%
NY By 8-14 points
7.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Indiana
117.45
INDIANA
New York
112.11
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Indiana
110
INDIANA
New York
114
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pacers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pacers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.3
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 229.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 17, 2026
IND @ NY
110 - 136
Mar 13, 2026
NY @ IND
101 - 92
Feb 10, 2026
IND @ NY
137 - 134
Dec 18, 2025
NY @ IND
114 - 113
May 31, 2025
NY @ IND
108 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+21.5% more
Indiana: 28.2
vs
New York: 22.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.4%
Indiana: 40.6%
vs
New York: 34.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.9%
Indiana: 50.3%
vs
New York: 46.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+19.5% more
New York: 13.6
vs
Indiana: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IND Score
117.5
114
NY Score
112.1
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 40.6
34.4 / 43.3
Assists
22.1 / 28.2
18.0 / 26.0
Blocks
5.5 / 5.3
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 50.3
47.6 / 51.8
Free Throw %
76.7 / 77.2
85.7 / 71.4
Rebounding
46.5 / 41.2
38.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.6 / 6.7
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 11.4
13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IND
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
IND
NY
IND
ML
61%
114-72
48%
47-50
56%
57-45
54%
45-38
ATS
67%
124-62
59%
57-40
56%
57-45
54%
45-38
TTL
72%
133-53
54%
52-45
100%
102-0
100%
83-0
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