Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Pacers NY @ IND

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

0-2  |  Road

106
FINAL
Sun, May 25 • 8:00 PM ET
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

INDIANA

PACERSIND

2-0  |  Home

100
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
PACERS
0%
KNICKS --
PACERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.1
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.1 points (Indiana)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 PacersIND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

37.9%

Pacers Cover

62.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IND -3.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)

NY By 1-7 points

21.5%

NY By 8-14 points

10.6%

IND By 1-7 points

27.3%

IND By 8-14 points

20.2%

AI Model Projected Score
112.65
NEW YORK
115.72
INDIANA
Simulated Score
109
NEW YORK
115
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pacers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pacers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pacers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.1
D
Sim Pacers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 228.4
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 17, 2026 IND @ NY 110 - 136
Mar 13, 2026 NY @ IND 101 - 92
Feb 10, 2026 IND @ NY 137 - 134
Dec 18, 2025 NY @ IND 114 - 113
May 31, 2025 NY @ IND 108 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +32.3% more
Indiana: 27.5 vs New York: 20.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.3%
Indiana: 41.5% vs New York: 34.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
Indiana: 50.8% vs New York: 46.8%
Turnovers (L5) +18.5% more
New York: 13.4 vs Indiana: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 112.7 106
IND Score 115.7 100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.5 / 34.3 20.0 / 34.4
Assists 27.5 / 20.8 21.0 / 13.0
Blocks 4.6 / 5.0 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.8 / 46.8 44.2 / 43.6
Free Throw % 75.3 / 79.7 81.8 / 90.0
Rebounding 38.1 / 43.7 38.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.4 / 6.4 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 13.4 14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
IND
19-63-0 (23.2%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
IND
40-42-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
NY
IND
NY
ML
48% 47-50
61% 114-72
54% 45-38
56% 57-45
ATS
59% 57-40
67% 124-62
54% 45-38
56% 57-45
TTL
54% 52-45
72% 133-53
100% 83-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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