Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pacers @ Knicks IND @ NY

INDIANA

PACERSIND

3-1  |  Road

94
FINAL
Thu, May 29 • 8:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

1-3  |  Home

111
AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
0%
📊
KNICKS
100%
PACERS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Indiana)
PacersIND (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pacers Cover

53.1%

Knicks Cover

46.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IND -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)

IND By 1-7 points

26.0%

IND By 8-14 points

16.6%

NY By 1-7 points

24.5%

NY By 8-14 points

14.0%

AI Model Projected Score
115.85
INDIANA
115.06
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
109
INDIANA
113
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pacers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knicks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pacers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -0.8
D
Sim Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 230.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 17, 2026 IND @ NY 110 - 136
Mar 13, 2026 NY @ IND 101 - 92
Feb 10, 2026 IND @ NY 137 - 134
Dec 18, 2025 NY @ IND 114 - 113
May 31, 2025 NY @ IND 108 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +33.0% more
Indiana: 26.5 vs New York: 17.8
Steals (L5) +21.2% more
Indiana: 8.5 vs New York: 6.7
Field Goal % (L5) +3.5%
Indiana: 49.4% vs New York: 45.9%
Turnovers (L5) +28.6% more
New York: 14.9 vs Indiana: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IND Score 115.9 94
NY Score 115.1 111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.2 / 36.4 27.6 / 33.3
Assists 17.8 / 26.5 22.0 / 20.0
Blocks 4.5 / 4.2 3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 49.4 49.4 / 40.5
Free Throw % 83.6 / 79.8 68.2 / 82.8
Rebounding 42.3 / 36.4 45.0 / 40.0
Steals 6.7 / 8.5 11.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 14.9 / 11.6 15.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IND
19-63-0 (23.2%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IND
40-42-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.8
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
IND
NY
IND
ML
61% 114-72
48% 47-50
56% 57-45
54% 45-38
ATS
67% 124-62
59% 57-40
56% 57-45
54% 45-38
TTL
72% 133-53
54% 52-45
100% 102-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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