Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Pacers NY @ IND

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

2-3  |  Road

108
FINAL
Sat, May 31 • 8:00 PM ET
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

INDIANA

PACERSIND

3-2  |  Home

125
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
PACERS
0%
KNICKS --
PACERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Indiana)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 PacersIND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

48.4%

Pacers Cover

51.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IND -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)

NY By 1-7 points

24.9%

NY By 8-14 points

14.7%

IND By 1-7 points

25.7%

IND By 8-14 points

16.0%

AI Model Projected Score
113.31
NEW YORK
113.71
INDIANA
Simulated Score
110
NEW YORK
115
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pacers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pacers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pacers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -0.4
D
Sim Pacers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 17, 2026 IND @ NY 110 - 136
Mar 13, 2026 NY @ IND 101 - 92
Feb 10, 2026 IND @ NY 137 - 134
Dec 18, 2025 NY @ IND 114 - 113
May 31, 2025 NY @ IND 108 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +30.0% more
Indiana: 5.2 vs New York: 4.0
Assists (L5) +26.9% more
Indiana: 24.4 vs New York: 19.2
Steals (L5) +10.7% more
Indiana: 9.0 vs New York: 8.2
Free Throw % (L5) +2.3%
Indiana: 80.8% vs New York: 78.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 113.3 108
IND Score 113.7 125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.4 / 34.0 51.5 / 28.1
Assists 24.4 / 19.2 30.0 / 23.0
Blocks 5.2 / 4.0 9.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 46.5 / 47.1 54.1 / 47.7
Free Throw % 80.8 / 78.5 84.2 / 65.4
Rebounding 37.6 / 43.2 36.0 / 41.0
Steals 9.0 / 8.2 10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 15.0 13.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
IND
19-63-0 (23.2%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
IND
40-42-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
NY
IND
NY
ML
48% 47-50
61% 114-72
54% 45-38
56% 57-45
ATS
59% 57-40
67% 124-62
54% 45-38
56% 57-45
TTL
54% 52-45
72% 133-53
100% 83-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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