TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
17-12 | Road
81
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
7-19 | Home
96
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
0%
NETS
100%
RAPTORS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
236.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TOR -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1-7 points
10.7%
TOR By 8-14 points
21.6%
BKN By 1-7 points
2.7%
BKN By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
127
TORONTO
Brooklyn
109
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Toronto
108
TORONTO
Brooklyn
112
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Raptors
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Raptors (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o216.0
Loss
Proj Total: 236.0
D
Sim
u216.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
BKN @ TOR
101 - 136
Dec 21, 2025
TOR @ BKN
81 - 96
Nov 23, 2025
BKN @ TOR
109 - 119
Nov 11, 2025
TOR @ BKN
119 - 109
Apr 6, 2025
TOR @ BKN
120 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+33.5% more
Brooklyn: 8.7
vs
Toronto: 6.5
Blocks (L5)
+15.1% more
Brooklyn: 5.8
vs
Toronto: 5.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.0%
Brooklyn: 80.9%
vs
Toronto: 70.9%
Rebounding (L5)
+9.5% more
Brooklyn: 44.9
vs
Toronto: 41.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
127.0
81
BKN Score
109.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 35.5
40.0 / 28.0
Assists
27.8 / 29.7
29.0 / 23.0
Blocks
5.8 / 5.0
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 45.2
47.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
80.9 / 70.9
75.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
44.9 / 41.0
48.0 / 39.0
Steals
8.7 / 6.5
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 15.4
22.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
TOR
BKN
TOR
ML
53%
50-45
55%
57-47
59%
48-34
55%
48-39
ATS
52%
48-44-3
61%
62-40-2
59%
48-34
55%
48-39
TTL
57%
54-41
60%
62-42
100%
82-0
100%
87-0
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