OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
17-13-4 | Road
6
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
20-15-1 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 2.00 | 0.900 | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 1.82 | 0.909 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00
GAA
Ldr 1.82
0.900
Save %
Ldr 0.909
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
0%
BRUINS
100%
SENATORS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BOS +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
OTT By 1 goal
19.7%
OTT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
BOS By 1 goal
12.1%
BOS By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Boston
2
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Boston
4
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 5, 2026
OTT @ BOS
4 - 1
Dec 21, 2025
OTT @ BOS
6 - 2
Nov 13, 2025
BOS @ OTT
3 - 5
Nov 6, 2025
OTT @ BOS
2 - 3
Oct 27, 2025
BOS @ OTT
2 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+16.8% more
Ottawa: 25.6
vs
Boston: 21.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.7% more
Ottawa: 30.3
vs
Boston: 26.2
Power Play % (L5)
+4.0%
Ottawa: 33.0%
vs
Boston: 28.9%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+32.0% more
Boston: 16.3
vs
Ottawa: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
3.0
6
BOS Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.3 / 12.3
11.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
51.8 / 52.8
49.2 / 50.8
Hits
21.3 / 25.6
32.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
28.9 / 33.0
20.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
26.2 / 30.3
20.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 4.9
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
OTT
BOS
OTT
ML
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
TTL
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
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