WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
19-12-4 | Road
2
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
20-13-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Charlie Lindgren
#79 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | None-None | 2.80 | 0.889 | -- |
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.80
GAA
--
0.889
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
0%
RED WINGS
100%
CAPITALS
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DET +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
WSH By 1 goal
19.7%
WSH By 2-3 goals
29.6%
DET By 1 goal
12.1%
DET By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Washington
2
WASHINGTON
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Capitals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Red Wings (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
WSH @ DET
4 - 3
Dec 21, 2025
WSH @ DET
2 - 3
Dec 20, 2025
DET @ WSH
5 - 2
Mar 18, 2025
DET @ WSH
1 - 4
Mar 7, 2025
DET @ WSH
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+43.6% more
Washington: 21.8
vs
Detroit: 12.3
Takeaways (L5)
+55.3% more
Detroit: 5.0
vs
Washington: 3.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+34.6% more
Detroit: 17.9
vs
Washington: 13.3
Power Play % (L5)
+29.2%
Detroit: 35.4%
vs
Washington: 6.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
3.0
2
DET Score
2.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.9 / 13.3
18.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
49.2 / 47.5
50.9 / 49.1
Hits
12.3 / 21.8
16.0 / 11.0
Power Play %
35.4 / 6.3
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.8 / 27.3
27.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 3.2
8.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
WSH
DET
WSH
ML
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
TTL
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…