BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
16-14-4 | Road
3
NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
20-14-1 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Allen
#34 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 1.00 | 0.963 | -- |
| Jake Allen | None-None | 2.14 | 0.917 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
2.14
0.963 Ldr
Save %
0.917
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
DEVILS
0%
SABRES
--
DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New Jersey)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)
BUF By 1 goal
12.1%
BUF By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NJ By 1 goal
19.7%
NJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
New Jersey
4
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Devils
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Devils
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Devils (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Devils (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
BUF @ NJ
2 - 1
Dec 21, 2025
BUF @ NJ
3 - 1
Nov 28, 2025
NJ @ BUF
5 - 0
Feb 2, 2025
NJ @ BUF
3 - 4
Oct 5, 2024
BUF @ NJ
1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+15.5% more
New Jersey: 29.6
vs
Buffalo: 25.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+10.3%
New Jersey: 55.2%
vs
Buffalo: 44.9%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+23.1% more
Buffalo: 15.0
vs
New Jersey: 11.5
Power Play % (L5)
+18.9%
Buffalo: 23.2%
vs
New Jersey: 4.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
2.0
3
NJ Score
3.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.5 / 15.0
13.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
55.2 / 44.9
58.8 / 41.2
Hits
17.4 / 18.4
16.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
433.0 / 2319.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.6 / 25.6
27.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 5.6
2.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
BUF
NJ
BUF
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
TTL
0%
0-2-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1-1
33%
1-2
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