Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Colonels @ Shockers EKU @ WICH

EASTERN KENTUCKY

COLONELSEKU

4-8  |  Road

57
FINAL
Sun, Dec 21 • 5:00 PM ET
Charles Koch Arena
View Odds Details →

WICHITA STATE

SHOCKERSWICH

7-5  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
COLONELS
0%
📊
SHOCKERS
100%
COLONELS --
SHOCKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+11.0
WICHITA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
ColonelsEKU (-3.5) 0 ShockersWICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colonels Cover

13.6%

Shockers Cover

86.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WICH +11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WICH)

EKU By 1-7 points

21.6%

EKU By 8-14 points

27.4%

WICH By 1-7 points

9.3%

WICH By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
74
EASTERN KENTUCKY
63
WICHITA STATE
Simulated Score
72
EASTERN KENTUCKY
78
WICHITA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Colonels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Shockers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Shockers (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: +11.0
D
Sim Shockers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 21, 2025 EKU @ WICH 57 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +27.4% more
Eastern Kentucky: 14.1 vs Wichita State: 10.2
Assists (L5) +27.1% more
Eastern Kentucky: 13.4 vs Wichita State: 9.7
Blocks (L5) +21.1% more
Eastern Kentucky: 4.1 vs Wichita State: 3.3
Steals (L5) +20.1% more
Eastern Kentucky: 6.9 vs Wichita State: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EKU Score 74.0 57
WICH Score 63.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.2 / 32.5 43.0 / 31.0
Assists 9.7 / 13.4 26.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.3 / 4.1 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.3 / 39.5 51.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 66.8 / 81.8 57.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 36.7 / 39.8 49.0 / 29.0
Steals 5.5 / 6.9 5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 14.1 7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EKU
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -3.7
WICH Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EKU
10-19-1 (34.5%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -3.7
WICH Advantage
22-13-0 (62.9%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
⚖️ Over/Under
EKU
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +4.9
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WICH
EKU
WICH
EKU
ML
61% 22-14
44% 14-18
68% 23-11
69% 22-10
ATS
64% 23-13
56% 18-14
68% 23-11
69% 22-10
TTL
69% 25-11
53% 17-15
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Shockers Stumble in Charity Exhibition Against Murray State, 93-…
thesunflower 1 hour, 33 minutes ago
Shockers and Wildcats to Clash in Historic Regular-Season Showdo…
kwch 1 month, 3 weeks ago
Shockers Set for Historic Clash with Kentucky at Rupp Arena in 2…
kansas 1 month, 3 weeks ago
Former NFA Star R.J. Evans Returns Home as New AIC Men's Basketb…
theday 1 month, 3 weeks ago
Wichita State Locks In Paul Mills Through 2031: Inside the Contr…
kansas 2 months, 1 week ago