LOYOLA MARYLAND
GREYHOUNDSL-MD
4-8 | Road
79
GEORGE MASON
PATRIOTSGMU
10-1 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
GREYHOUNDS
100%
PATRIOTS
0%
GREYHOUNDS
--
PATRIOTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
117.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
GEORGE MASON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (George Mason)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GMU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GMU)
L-MD By 1-7 points
21.6%
L-MD By 8-14 points
10.7%
GMU By 1-7 points
27.2%
GMU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Maryland
57
LOYOLA MARYLAND
George Mason
60
GEORGE MASON
Simulated Score
Loyola Maryland
65
LOYOLA MARYLAND
George Mason
73
GEORGE MASON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Patriots
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Patriots
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Patriots (+24.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Patriots (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 117.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 21, 2025
L-MD @ GMU
79 - 86
Dec 16, 2023
L-MD @ GMU
54 - 62
Nov 19, 2019
L-MD @ GMU
61 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.9%
George Mason: 76.6%
vs
Loyola Maryland: 62.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
George Mason: 37.1%
vs
Loyola Maryland: 32.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
George Mason: 45.9%
vs
Loyola Maryland: 42.9%
Blocks (L5)
+20.8% more
Loyola Maryland: 3.1
vs
George Mason: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
L-MD Score
57.0
79
GMU Score
60.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 32.9
26.0 / 45.0
Assists
13.8 / 16.7
12.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.5 / 3.1
9.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 42.9
48.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
76.6 / 62.7
79.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 33.1
37.0 / 33.0
Steals
6.3 / 7.7
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 13.5
7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
L-MD
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
GMU
Advantage
23-10-0
(69.7%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
L-MD
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
GMU
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +4.5
GMU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GMU
L-MD
GMU
L-MD
ML
55%
18-15
53%
17-15
73%
24-9
66%
21-11
ATS
55%
18-15
56%
18-14
73%
24-9
66%
21-11
TTL
58%
19-14
44%
14-18
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
