MAINE

BLACK BEARSME

1-12  |  Road

56
FINAL
Sun, Dec 21 • 2:00 PM ET
Daskalakis Athletic Center
View Odds Details →

DREXEL

DRAGONSDREX

5-7  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK BEARS
0%
📊
DRAGONS
100%
BLACK BEARS --
DRAGONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
110.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
DREXEL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Black BearsME (-3.5) 0 DragonsDREX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Black Bears Cover

42.1%

Dragons Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DREX +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DREX)

ME By 1-7 points

26.8%

ME By 8-14 points

18.6%

DREX By 1-7 points

23.0%

DREX By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
56
MAINE
54
DREXEL
Simulated Score
67
MAINE
74
DREXEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Black Bears Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dragons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dragons (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Dragons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u124.5 Loss
Proj Total: 110.0
D
Sim u124.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 21, 2025 ME @ DREX 56 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +10.0% more
Maine: 4.6 vs Drexel: 4.1
Turnovers (L5) +9.4% more
Maine: 15.7 vs Drexel: 14.2
Assists (L5) +34.5% more
Drexel: 14.2 vs Maine: 10.6
Free Throw % (L5) +9.5%
Drexel: 70.4% vs Maine: 60.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ME Score 56.0 56
DREX Score 54.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.8 / 35.1 48.0 / 15.0
Assists 14.2 / 10.6 20.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.1 / 4.6 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 42.1 57.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 70.4 / 60.9 57.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 30.6 / 28.1 26.0 / 24.0
Steals 8.4 / 7.8 4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 15.7 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ME
8-24-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -1.9
DREX Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ME
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -1.9
DREX Advantage
18-13-1 (58.1%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -2.8
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -2.8