AI Model Win Probability
BLACK BEARS
0%
DRAGONS
100%
BLACK BEARS
--
DRAGONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
110.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
DREXEL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DREX +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DREX)
ME By 1-7 points
26.8%
ME By 8-14 points
18.6%
DREX By 1-7 points
23.0%
DREX By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Maine
56
MAINE
Drexel
54
DREXEL
Simulated Score
Maine
67
MAINE
Drexel
74
DREXEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Black Bears
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dragons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dragons (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Dragons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u124.5
Loss
Proj Total: 110.0
D
Sim
u124.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 21, 2025
ME @ DREX
56 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+10.0% more
Maine: 4.6
vs
Drexel: 4.1
Turnovers (L5)
+9.4% more
Maine: 15.7
vs
Drexel: 14.2
Assists (L5)
+34.5% more
Drexel: 14.2
vs
Maine: 10.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.5%
Drexel: 70.4%
vs
Maine: 60.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ME Score
56.0
56
DREX Score
54.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.8 / 35.1
48.0 / 15.0
Assists
14.2 / 10.6
20.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.1 / 4.6
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 42.1
57.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
70.4 / 60.9
57.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
30.6 / 28.1
26.0 / 24.0
Steals
8.4 / 7.8
4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 15.7
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ME
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
DREX
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ME
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
DREX
Advantage
18-13-1
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -2.8
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DREX
ME
DREX
ME
ML
58%
19-14
45%
14-17
81%
26-6
52%
16-15
ATS
70%
23-10
55%
17-14
81%
26-6
52%
16-15
TTL
48%
16-17
55%
17-14
100%
32-0
100%
31-0