Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Commodores @ Demon Deacons VAN @ WAKE

VANDERBILT

COMMODORESVAN

11-0  |  Road

98
FINAL
Sun, Dec 21 • 1:00 PM ET
LJVM Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WAKE FOREST

DEMON DEACONSWAKE

9-3  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
COMMODORES
100%
📊
DEMON DEACONS
0%
COMMODORES --
DEMON DEACONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WAKE FOREST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Wake Forest)
CommodoresVAN (-3.5) 0 Demon DeaconsWAKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Commodores Cover

46.0%

Demon Deacons Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WAKE -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WAKE)

VAN By 1-7 points

24.3%

VAN By 8-14 points

13.7%

WAKE By 1-7 points

26.2%

WAKE By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
67
VANDERBILT
68
WAKE FOREST
Simulated Score
72
VANDERBILT
78
WAKE FOREST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Demon Deacons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Demon Deacons Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Demon Deacons (+4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Demon Deacons (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 21, 2025 VAN @ WAKE 98 - 67
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.1%
Wake Forest: 33.8% vs Vanderbilt: 28.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.7%
Wake Forest: 48.2% vs Vanderbilt: 43.5%
Blocks (L5) +23.5% more
Vanderbilt: 4.5 vs Wake Forest: 3.5
Turnovers (L5) +20.1% more
Vanderbilt: 13.6 vs Wake Forest: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VAN Score 67.0 98
WAKE Score 68.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.8 / 28.7 19.0 / 50.0
Assists 15.1 / 16.8 8.0 / 23.0
Blocks 3.5 / 4.5 2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 48.2 / 43.5 35.0 / 59.0
Free Throw % 77.3 / 78.7 78.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 33.0 / 41.2 34.0 / 29.0
Steals 9.3 / 11.2 7.0 / 14.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 13.6 17.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
72%MONEY28%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VAN Advantage
27-9-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +0.7
WAKE
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VAN Advantage
18-18-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +0.7
WAKE
16-18-1 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
VAN
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8% Total +/-: +1.3
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAKE
VAN
WAKE
VAN
ML
49% 17-18
69% 25-11
61% 20-13
56% 18-14
ATS
66% 23-12
78% 28-8
61% 20-13
56% 18-14
TTL
60% 21-14
58% 21-15
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
espn 1 day, 3 hours ago
Jason Kidd in Advanced Talks to Join ESPN's NBA Countdown as Ana…
yahoo 2 days, 23 hours ago
Colorado Buffaloes Playbook Left in Hotel Bar, Found by Texas Te…
si 4 days, 3 hours ago
Georgia vs Vanderbilt: Live Score Updates and Nate Frazier Injur…
headtopics 5 days, 9 hours ago
WKU Men's Basketball Kicks Off Official Practices with Revamped …
wnky 1 week ago