Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Runnin' Bulldogs @ Volunteers GWEB @ TENN

GARDNER-WEBB

RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB

2-12  |  Road

52
FINAL
Sun, Dec 21 • 3:00 PM ET
Food City Center
View Odds Details →

TENNESSEE

VOLUNTEERSTENN

8-3  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
100%
📊
VOLUNTEERS
0%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS --
VOLUNTEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
92.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Tennessee)
Runnin' BulldogsGWEB (-3.5) 0 VolunteersTENN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Runnin' Bulldogs Cover

5.5%

Volunteers Cover

94.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TENN -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TENN)

GWEB By 1-7 points

4.0%

GWEB By 8-14 points

0.8%

TENN By 1-7 points

13.7%

TENN By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
38
GARDNER-WEBB
54
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
57
GARDNER-WEBB
82
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Volunteers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Volunteers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Volunteers (+42.5) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Volunteers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 92.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 21, 2025 GWEB @ TENN 52 - 94
Nov 4, 2024 GWEB @ TENN 64 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +30.2% more
Tennessee: 16.7 vs Gardner-Webb: 12.9
Blocks (L5) +26.9% more
Tennessee: 4.0 vs Gardner-Webb: 3.1
Steals (L5) +13.3% more
Tennessee: 7.3 vs Gardner-Webb: 6.4
Rebounding (L5) +12.0% more
Tennessee: 38.9 vs Gardner-Webb: 34.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GWEB Score 38.0 52
TENN Score 54.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.0 / 28.3 32.0 / 23.0
Assists 16.7 / 12.9 21.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.0 / 3.1 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.2 / 49.9 54.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 61.8 / 75.0 67.0 / 56.0
Rebounding 38.9 / 34.7 50.0 / 25.0
Steals 7.3 / 6.4 10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 12.4 9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
19%MONEY81%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GWEB
4-29-0 (12.1%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
TENN Advantage
25-12-0 (67.6%)
Margin: 9.3 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GWEB Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -17.3 ATS +/-: -3.0
TENN
17-19-1 (47.2%)
Margin: 9.3 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: -1.0
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TENN
GWEB
TENN
GWEB
ML
46% 17-20
73% 22-8
64% 21-12
63% 19-11
ATS
54% 20-17
73% 22-8
64% 21-12
63% 19-11
TTL
76% 28-9
53% 16-14
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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