Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Ospreys @ Hurricanes UNF @ MIA

NORTH FLORIDA

OSPREYSUNF

2-9  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sun, Dec 21 • 4:00 PM ET
Watsco Center
View Odds Details →

MIAMI

HURRICANESMIA

10-2  |  Home

105
AI Model Win Probability
OSPREYS
100%
📊
HURRICANES
0%
OSPREYS --
HURRICANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Miami)
OspreysUNF (-3.5) 0 HurricanesMIA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ospreys Cover

0.6%

Hurricanes Cover

99.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIA -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)

UNF By 1-7 points

0.5%

UNF By 8-14 points

0.1%

MIA By 1-7 points

3.3%

MIA By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
51
NORTH FLORIDA
76
MIAMI
Simulated Score
65
NORTH FLORIDA
78
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hurricanes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes (+36.5) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim Hurricanes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u171.5 Loss
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim u171.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 21, 2025 UNF @ MIA 67 - 105
Dec 29, 2023 UNF @ MIA 55 - 95
Nov 29, 2020 UNF @ MIA 59 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +198.6% more
Miami: 4.2 vs North Florida: 1.4
Assists (L5) +56.5% more
Miami: 21.3 vs North Florida: 13.6
Rebounding (L5) +26.4% more
Miami: 40.0 vs North Florida: 31.7
Steals (L5) +20.8% more
Miami: 7.6 vs North Florida: 6.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNF Score 51.0 67
MIA Score 76.0 105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.2 / 32.8 36.0 / 35.0
Assists 21.3 / 13.6 20.0 / 9.0
Blocks 4.2 / 1.4 3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 53.4 / 41.5 57.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 65.0 / 75.8 69.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 40.0 / 31.7 44.0 / 24.0
Steals 7.6 / 6.3 13.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 12.8 10.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
22%MONEY78%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNF
7-25-0 (21.9%)
Margin: -8.6 ATS +/-: +1.1
MIA Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNF Advantage
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: -8.6 ATS +/-: +1.1
MIA
18-15-1 (54.6%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UNF
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +3.5
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
UNF
MIA
UNF
ML
63% 22-13
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
66% 21-11
ATS
63% 22-13
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
66% 21-11
TTL
63% 22-13
66% 21-11
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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