UCONN

HUSKIESCONN

11-1  |  Road

72
FINAL
Sun, Dec 21 • 4:30 PM ET
Wintrust Arena
View Odds Details →

DEPAUL

BLUE DEMONSDEP

8-4  |  Home

54
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
📊
BLUE DEMONS
100%
HUSKIES --
BLUE DEMONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
DEPAUL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
HuskiesCONN (-3.5) 0 Blue DemonsDEP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

27.4%

Blue Demons Cover

72.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DEP +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEP)

CONN By 1-7 points

26.8%

CONN By 8-14 points

24.3%

DEP By 1-7 points

16.9%

DEP By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
82
UCONN
76
DEPAUL
Simulated Score
82
UCONN
65
DEPAUL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Huskies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blue Demons (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim Huskies (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o134.5 Loss
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 10, 2026 DEP @ CONN 60 - 72
Dec 21, 2025 CONN @ DEP 72 - 54
Jan 29, 2025 DEP @ CONN 61 - 72
Jan 1, 2025 CONN @ DEP 81 - 68
Feb 14, 2024 CONN @ DEP 101 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +62.2% more
UConn: 7.4 vs DePaul: 2.8
Assists (L5) +19.0% more
UConn: 19.0 vs DePaul: 15.4
Rebounding (L5) +14.8% more
UConn: 37.5 vs DePaul: 32.0
Field Goal % (L5) +4.7%
UConn: 50.5% vs DePaul: 45.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CONN Score 82.0 72
DEP Score 76.0 54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.3 / 35.2 23.0 / 33.0
Assists 15.4 / 19.0 7.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.8 / 7.4 4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 45.8 / 50.5 36.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 78.8 / 64.8 52.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 32.0 / 37.5 28.0 / 40.0
Steals 6.9 / 5.7 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 12.3 13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
98%TICKETS2%
98%MONEY2%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
86%MONEY14%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
34%MONEY66%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CONN Advantage
34-6-0 (85.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
DEP
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CONN
18-22-0 (45.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
DEP Advantage
18-12-2 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5% Total +/-: -1.5
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.1