AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
BLUE DEMONS
100%
HUSKIES
--
BLUE DEMONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
DEPAUL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DEP +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEP)
CONN By 1-7 points
26.8%
CONN By 8-14 points
24.3%
DEP By 1-7 points
16.9%
DEP By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
UConn
82
UCONN
DePaul
76
DEPAUL
Simulated Score
UConn
82
UCONN
DePaul
65
DEPAUL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Demons (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim
Huskies (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o134.5
Loss
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
DEP @ CONN
60 - 72
Dec 21, 2025
CONN @ DEP
72 - 54
Jan 29, 2025
DEP @ CONN
61 - 72
Jan 1, 2025
CONN @ DEP
81 - 68
Feb 14, 2024
CONN @ DEP
101 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+62.2% more
UConn: 7.4
vs
DePaul: 2.8
Assists (L5)
+19.0% more
UConn: 19.0
vs
DePaul: 15.4
Rebounding (L5)
+14.8% more
UConn: 37.5
vs
DePaul: 32.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
UConn: 50.5%
vs
DePaul: 45.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CONN Score
82.0
72
DEP Score
76.0
54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 35.2
23.0 / 33.0
Assists
15.4 / 19.0
7.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.8 / 7.4
4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 50.5
36.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
78.8 / 64.8
52.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
32.0 / 37.5
28.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.9 / 5.7
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 12.3
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CONN
Advantage
34-6-0
(85.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
DEP
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CONN
18-22-0
(45.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
DEP
Advantage
18-12-2
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5%
Total +/-: -1.5
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEP
CONN
DEP
CONN
ML
59%
19-13
76%
29-9
80%
24-6
66%
23-12
ATS
50%
16-16
74%
28-10
80%
24-6
66%
23-12
TTL
53%
17-15
50%
19-19
100%
30-0
100%
35-0