Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Anteaters @ Bison UCI @ NDSU

UC IRVINE

ANTEATERSUCI

7-5  |  Road

74
FINAL
Sun, Dec 21 • 7:00 PM ET
Don Haskins Center
View Odds Details →

NORTH DAKOTA STATE

BISONNDSU

10-3  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
ANTEATERS
100%
📊
BISON
0%
ANTEATERS --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (North Dakota State)
AnteatersUCI (-3.5) 0 BisonNDSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Anteaters Cover

0.0%

Bison Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NDSU -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NDSU)

UCI By 1-7 points

0.0%

UCI By 8-14 points

0.0%

NDSU By 1-7 points

0.5%

NDSU By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
55
UC IRVINE
88
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Simulated Score
65
UC IRVINE
72
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bison Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bison (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim Bison (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 21, 2025 UCI @ NDSU 74 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +105.9% more
North Dakota State: 11.5 vs UC Irvine: 5.6
Free Throw % (L5) +10.0%
North Dakota State: 73.6% vs UC Irvine: 63.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +7.4%
North Dakota State: 48.0% vs UC Irvine: 40.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.6%
North Dakota State: 39.0% vs UC Irvine: 36.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UCI Score 55.0 74
NDSU Score 88.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.0 / 36.4 44.0 / 35.0
Assists 16.1 / 14.9 13.0 / 21.0
Blocks 1.8 / 6.3 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.0 / 40.6 47.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 73.6 / 63.6 47.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 37.1 / 38.5 41.0 / 29.0
Steals 11.5 / 5.6 7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 11.0 19.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
70%MONEY30%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCI
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
NDSU Advantage
27-8-0 (77.1%)
Margin: 10.1 ATS +/-: +4.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCI
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
NDSU Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 10.1 ATS +/-: +4.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -2.8
NDSU
18-13-2
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NDSU
UCI
NDSU
UCI
ML
49% 17-18
57% 20-15
59% 20-14
53% 18-16
ATS
54% 19-16
63% 22-13
59% 20-14
53% 18-16
TTL
43% 15-20
57% 20-15
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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