Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Raiders @ Gators COLG @ FLA

COLGATE

RAIDERSCOLG

6-5  |  Road

60
FINAL
Sun, Dec 21 • 12:00 PM ET
Stephen C. O'Connell Center
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

GATORSFLA

7-4  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
100%
📊
GATORS
0%
RAIDERS --
GATORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Florida)
RaidersCOLG (-3.5) 0 GatorsFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raiders Cover

0.0%

Gators Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FLA -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

COLG By 1-7 points

0.0%

COLG By 8-14 points

0.0%

FLA By 1-7 points

0.5%

FLA By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
46
COLGATE
79
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
65
COLGATE
78
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gators Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gators Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gators (-28.5) Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim Gators (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 21, 2025 COLG @ FLA 60 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +46.5% more
Florida: 13.6 vs Colgate: 9.3
Blocks (L5) +34.1% more
Florida: 4.9 vs Colgate: 3.6
Rebounding (L5) +15.6% more
Florida: 43.2 vs Colgate: 37.3
Free Throw % (L5) +6.9%
Florida: 74.2% vs Colgate: 67.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COLG Score 46.0 60
FLA Score 79.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.9 / 31.7 33.0 / 65.0
Assists 16.9 / 18.2 12.0 / 16.0
Blocks 4.9 / 3.6 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 49.9 / 51.6 52.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 74.2 / 67.3 67.0 / 38.0
Rebounding 43.2 / 37.3 49.0 / 22.0
Steals 5.3 / 6.7 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 9.3 9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLG
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
FLA Advantage
27-8-0 (77.1%)
Margin: 15.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLG
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
FLA Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 15.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.9
FLA
14-20-1
O: 41.2% / U: 58.8% Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
COLG
FLA
COLG
ML
77% 27-8
59% 19-13
63% 22-13
69% 22-10
ATS
69% 24-11
72% 23-9
63% 22-13
70% 23-10
TTL
63% 22-13
78% 25-7
100% 35-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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